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Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?

Clôture dans 1 jours
5 mai 2026
6.2% OUI ↑ 1.5% Variation 24h ↓ 67.4% Variation 7j En direct
OUI NON 93.8%
Partager:
Volume 24h
$187
Liquidité
$28K
Score
84/100
Probabilité historique
Chargement du graphique...
OUI %
Données du marché
Efficacité du marché 44/100
Vol. total $387
Volume 24h $187
Liquidité $28K
Écart 0.9%
Profondeur du carnet
Intérêt ouvert $279
Voir sur PolyMarket ↗
Activité de trading (24h)
Achat 65% Vente 35%
Acheteurs dominants
Trades (24h) 6
Plus gros trade $10
Trade moyen $6

À propos de ce marché

As of market creation, Strategy is estimated to release earnings on May 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Strategy's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-15.53 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy reports GAAP EPS greater than $-15.53 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Strategy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Source de résolution : https://seekingalpha.com/

Comprendre ce marché

YES% = Probabilité

Le YES% est l'estimation collective de probabilité par les participants du marché. Un prix de 0,72 signifie que les traders estiment une probabilité de 72% de résolution YES — chaque part de $1 rapporte $1 si l'événement se produit, $0 sinon.

Spread et Score

Le spread bid-ask représente le coût de transaction. Des spreads serrés (< 2%) indiquent des marchés liquides et actifs. Le score de compétitivité (0–100) reflète la qualité globale et l'efficience du marché.

Taux Historique de Base

Le taux historique de base montre la fréquence à laquelle un mouvement de prix similaire s'est produit dans des fenêtres temporelles comparables. Un écart important entre la probabilité du marché et le taux historique peut signaler une sur- ou sous-évaluation.

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