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Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?

Encerra em 1 dias
5 mai 2026
6.2% SIM ↑ 1.5% Variação 24h ↓ 67.4% Variação 7d Ao vivo
SIM NÃO 93.8%
Partilhar:
Volume 24h
$187
Liquidez
$28K
Pontuação
84/100
Probabilidade histórica
Carregando gráfico...
SIM %
Dados do mercado
Eficiência do mercado 44/100
Vol. total $387
Volume 24h $187
Liquidez $28K
Spread 0.9%
Profundidade do livro
Interesse aberto $279
Ver no PolyMarket ↗
Atividade de trades (24h)
Compra 65% Venda 35%
Compradores dominam
Trades (24h) 6
Maior trade $10
Trade médio $6

Sobre este mercado

As of market creation, Strategy is estimated to release earnings on May 5, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Strategy's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-15.53 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy reports GAAP EPS greater than $-15.53 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Strategy releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Fonte de resolução: https://seekingalpha.com/

Como interpretar este mercado

YES% = Probabilidade

O YES% é a estimativa coletiva de probabilidade do mercado. Um preço de 0,72 significa que os traders estimam uma probabilidade de 72% de resolução YES — cada quota de $1 paga $1 se o evento ocorrer, $0 caso contrário.

Spread e Pontuação

O spread bid-ask é o custo de negociação. Spreads reduzidos (< 2%) indicam mercados líquidos e ativos. A pontuação competitiva (0–100) reflete a qualidade geral e a eficiência do mercado.

Taxa Histórica de Base

A taxa histórica de base mostra com que frequência ocorreu um movimento de preço semelhante em janelas temporais comparáveis. Uma grande diferença entre a probabilidade do mercado e a taxa histórica pode indicar sobre ou subavaliação.

Dados do PolyMarket via API Gamma, atualizados a cada 15 minutos. Preços de criptomoedas do CoinMarketCap.

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