Ripple
XRP XRP above ___ on May 11?

Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 11?

Closes in 5 days
11 May 2026
95.7% YES ↑ 6.7% 24h change ↑ 2.2% 1h Live
YES NO 4.3%
Share:
24h Volume
$359
Liquidity
$6K
Score
83/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
Loading chart...
YES % Current XRP price
Price vs Target
$1.4397
XRP current →
→ target: $1
Exceeded by 9.7%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 38/100
Total vol. $359
24h Volume $359
Liquidity $6K
Spread 3.1%
Book depth
Open interest $894
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 2.4%
7d change ↑ 3.5%
Market Cap $89.0B
vs ATH -62.5% vs Jan 18
Historical Context
Move needed -9.7% in 5 days
Market probability 95.7%
Historical base rate 7.6%
Market is 88.1 pts more optimistic than history
55 of 725 5-day periods for XRP achieved this move · annual vol: 68.7%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 6
Largest trade $270
Avg. trade size $54

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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