Ripple
XRP What price will XRP hit in 2026?

Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 261 days
1 Jan 2027
12.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 87.5%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$15K
Score
88/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
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YES % Current XRP price
Price vs Target
$1.3786
XRP current →
→ target: $4
Still 190.2% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 39/100
Total vol. $322
24h Volume
Liquidity $15K
Spread 3%
Book depth
Open interest $51.6K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 2.8%
7d change ↑ 6%
Market Cap $84.7B
vs ATH -64.1% vs Jan 18
Historical Context
Move needed +190.2% in 261 days
Market probability 12.5%
Historical base rate 46.5%
Market is 34 pts more conservative than history
218 of 469 261-day periods for XRP achieved this move · annual vol: 68.9%

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →