Ripple
XRP What price will XRP hit in 2026?

Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 241 days
1 Jan 2027
59% YES ↓ 5.5% 24h change ↑ 2% 7d change Live
YES NO 41%
Share:
24h Volume
$60
Liquidity
$2K
Score
99/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
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YES % Current XRP price
Price vs Target
$1.3965
XRP current →
→ target: $1
Exceeded by 28.4%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 25/100
Total vol. $5.0K
24h Volume $60
Liquidity $2K
Spread 12%
Book depth
Open interest $56.8K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.2%
7d change ↑ 0.2%
Market Cap $86.3B
vs ATH -63.7% vs Jan 18
Historical Context
Move needed -28.4% in 241 days
Market probability 59%
Historical base rate 18%
Market is 41 pts more optimistic than history
88 of 489 241-day periods for XRP achieved this move · annual vol: 68.7%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $30
Avg. trade size $30

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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