Solana

Solana Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Closed
1 May 2026
39.5% YES ↓ 10.5% 24h change ↓ 10.5% 1h
YES NO 60.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$858
Score
99/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
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YES % Current SOL price
Current price
$83.9980
SOL →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 42/100
Total vol. $1.8K
24h Volume $2K
Liquidity $858
Spread 3%
Book depth
Open interest $262
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 1%
7d change ↓ 2.8%
Market Cap $48.4B
vs ATH -71.4% vs Jan 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 83% Sell 17%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 176
Largest trade $115
Avg. trade size $7

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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