Solana

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Closes in 165 days
31 Dec 2026
15.5% YES ↑ 0.5% 24h change ↓ 8% 7d change Live
YES NO 84.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$733
Liquidity
$12K
Score
89/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
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YES % Current SOL price
Current price
$75.2800
SOL →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 40/100
Total vol. $148.3K
24h Volume $733
Liquidity $12K
Spread 3%
Book depth $1.4K
Open interest $43.8K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0%
7d change ↓ 2.4%
Market Cap $43.9B
vs ATH -74.4% vs Jan 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $44
Avg. trade size $44

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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