Bitcoin
BTC What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?

Cerrado
30 abr. 2026
100% ↑ 0.2% cambio 24h ↑ 15.5% cambio 7d
NO 0%
Compartir:
Volumen 24h
$869
Liquidez
Score
0/100
Probabilidad histórica + Precio actual BTC
Cargando gráfico...
SÍ % Precio actual BTC
Precio actual
$80,330
BTC →
Estadísticas del mercado
Eficiencia del mercado 25/100
Vol. total $11.6K
Volumen 24h $869
Liquidez
Spread 0.1%
Profundidad del libro
Interés abierto $3.8K
Ver en PolyMarket ↗
cambio 24h ↑ 0.6%
cambio 7d ↑ 2.8%
Market Cap $1.61T
vs ATH -36.3% vs oct. 25
Actividad de trades (24h)
Compra 100% Venta 0%
Compradores dominan
Trades (24h) 1
Mayor trade $867
Trade promedio $867

Sobre este mercado

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin comparatively outperforms Silver in the listed month, with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the month for each asset. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the last day of the specified month in the ET timezone to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the first day of the specified month, 12:00 AM in the ET timezone (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The percentage change in Silver will be calculated by comparing the official Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) Close price for the last trading day of the specified month to the official Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) Close price for the last trading day before the specified month, as reported by MarketWatch (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/si00). Exactly equal performance of both assets will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution sources for this market are Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar, and MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Silver Continuous Contract (SI00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/si00.

Cómo interpretar este mercado

YES% = Probabilidad

El porcentaje YES representa la probabilidad colectiva del mercado. Un precio de 0.72 significa que los traders estiman un 72% de probabilidad de resolución YES — cada acción de $1 vale $1 si ocurre el evento, $0 si no.

Spread y Puntuación

El spread bid-ask es el coste de operar. Spreads ajustados (< 2%) indican mercados líquidos y activos. La puntuación competitiva (0–100) refleja la calidad y eficiencia del mercado.

Tasa Histórica Base

La tasa histórica base muestra con qué frecuencia se produjo un movimiento de precio similar en ventanas de tiempo comparables. Una gran diferencia entre la probabilidad del mercado y la tasa histórica puede indicar sobre o infravaloración.

Datos de PolyMarket vía Gamma API, actualizados cada 15 minutos. Precios de criptomonedas de CoinMarketCap.

Estadísticas →