Ripple

XRP Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Closed
3 May 2026
60.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↑ 10.5% 1h
YES NO 39.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$233
Liquidity
$530
Score
99/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
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YES % Current XRP price
Current price
$1.3977
XRP →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 42/100
Total vol. $233
24h Volume $233
Liquidity $530
Spread 3%
Book depth
Open interest $9
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.4%
7d change ↓ 2.1%
Market Cap $86.4B
vs ATH -63.6% vs Jan 18
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 98% Sell 2%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 80
Largest trade $486
Avg. trade size $14

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →