Ripple

XRP Up or Down on March 30?

Closed
30 Mar 2026
100% YES ↑ 0% 24h change
YES NO 0%
Share:
24h Volume
$9K
Liquidity
$314K
Score
80/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
Loading chart...
YES % Current XRP price
Current price
$1.2980
XRP →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $8.6K
24h Volume $9K
Liquidity $314K
Spread 0.1%
Book depth
Open interest $35.7K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 1.3%
7d change ↓ 2.7%
Market Cap $79.7B
vs ATH -66.2% vs Jan 18
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 96% Sell 4%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 329
Largest trade $1.4K
Avg. trade size $13

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Mar 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Mar 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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