Ripple
XRP What price will XRP hit in 2026?

Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 286 days
1 Jan 2027
15% YES ↓ 1.5% 24h change ↓ 1% 7d change Live
YES NO 85%
Share:
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$15K
Score
89/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
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YES % Current XRP price
Price vs Target
$1.4440
XRP current →
→ target: $4,000,000,000
Still 277007574851.5% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 22/100
Total vol. $162
24h Volume $10
Liquidity $15K
Spread 14%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0%
7d change ↑ 0.3%
Market Cap $88.5B
vs ATH -62.4% vs Jan 18
Historical Context
Move needed +277007574851.5% in 286 days
Market probability 15%
Historical base rate 0%
Market is broadly aligned with history
0 of 444 286-day periods for XRP achieved this move · annual vol: 69.7%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 0% Sell 100%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 2
Largest trade $1
Avg. trade size $1

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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