Ripple
XRP What price will XRP hit in May?

Will XRP reach $1.40 in May?

Closes in 29 days
1 Jun 2026
92% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 8%
Share:
24h Volume
$104
Liquidity
$2K
Score
85/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
Loading chart...
YES % Current XRP price
Price vs Target
$1.3854
XRP current →
→ target: $1
Still 1.1% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 21/100
Total vol. $104
24h Volume $104
Liquidity $2K
Spread 11.7%
Book depth
Open interest $33.7K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.5%
7d change ↓ 3.4%
Market Cap $85.5B
vs ATH -63.9% vs Jan 18
Historical Context
Move needed +1.1% in 29 days
Market probability 92%
Historical base rate 39.4%
Market is 52.6 pts more optimistic than history
276 of 701 29-day periods for XRP achieved this move · annual vol: 68.8%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 3
Largest trade $49
Avg. trade size $18

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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