Solana
SOL What price will Solana hit in 2026?

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 167 days
1 Jan 2027
90.3% YES ↑ 2.9% 24h change ↓ 1.3% 1h ↑ 11.8% 7d change Live
YES NO 9.7%
Share:
24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$9K
Score
86/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
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YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$75.0100
SOL current →
→ target: $60
Exceeded by 20%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 32/100
Total vol. $125.3K
24h Volume $3K
Liquidity $9K
Spread 5.9%
Book depth
Open interest $263.8K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 1%
7d change ↓ 4%
Market Cap $43.7B
vs ATH -74.5% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed -20% in 167 days
Market probability 90.3%
Historical base rate 52%
Market is 38.3 pts more optimistic than history
293 of 563 167-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 65.2%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 2
Largest trade $30
Avg. trade size $16

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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