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Other MegaETH airdrop by...?

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Closed
1 Feb 2026
47.5% YES ↑ 9% 24h change ↓ 2% 1h ↓ 12% 7d change Live
YES NO 52.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$6
Liquidity
$1K
Score
79/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 20/100
Total vol. $5.4K
24h Volume $6
Liquidity $1K
Spread 21%
Book depth
Open interest $55.2K
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 0% Sell 100%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $2
Avg. trade size $2

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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