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Other Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

15.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↓ 1% 7d change Live
YES NO 84.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$136
Liquidity
$5K
Score
89/100
Historical probability
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YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $133.3K
24h Volume $136
Liquidity $5K
Spread 1%
Book depth
Open interest $50.0K
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About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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