Ethereum
ETH What price will Ethereum hit May 25-31?

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?

Closes in 4 days
1 Jun 2026
11% YES ↓ 9% 24h change ↓ 1% 1h Live
YES NO 89%
Share:
24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$15K
Score
87/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
Loading chart...
YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,055
ETH current →
→ target: $2,200
Still 7.1% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 42/100
Total vol. $15.9K
24h Volume $1K
Liquidity $15K
Spread 2%
Book depth
Open interest $91.8K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.8%
7d change ↓ 3%
Market Cap $248.0B
vs ATH -58.5% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed +7.1% in 4 days
Market probability 11%
Historical base rate 12.9%
Market is broadly aligned with history
94 of 726 4-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 57.9%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 95% Sell 5%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 22
Largest trade $430
Avg. trade size $32

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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