Ethereum
ETH What price will Ethereum hit in May?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?

Closes in 30 days
1 Jun 2026
12.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 87.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$854
Liquidity
$16K
Score
88/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
Loading chart...
YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,295
ETH current →
→ target: $1,800
Exceeded by 21.6%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 44/100
Total vol. $854
24h Volume $854
Liquidity $16K
Spread 1%
Book depth —
Open interest $64.5K
View on PolyMarket ↗
Coin Metrics → #2
24h change ↑ 1.3%
7d change ↓ 1%
Market Cap $277.0B
vs ATH -53.7% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed -21.6% in 30 days
Market probability 12.5%
Historical base rate 14.6%
Market is broadly aligned with history
102 of 699 30-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 59.1%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 97% Sell 3%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 47
Largest trade $99
Avg. trade size $7

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What price will Ethereum hit in May?

20 markets

↓ 1,800
12.5%
↑ 2,400
78.5%
↓ 2,200
76%
↑ 2,600
38.5%
↓ 2,000
36%
↑ 2,800
15.5%
↑ 3,000
6.5%
↓ 1,600
3.5%
↑ 3,200
3.3%
↑ 3,400
1.5%
↓ 1,400
1.5%
↓ 800
1.3%
↓ 1,200
0.8%
↑ 3,600
0.8%
↓ 1,000
0.7%
↑ 3,800
0.7%
↓ 600
0.6%
↓ 400
0.4%
↑ 4,000
0.3%
↑ 5,000
0.3%

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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