other
Other Will Citrea launch a token by ___?

Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Closes in 609 days
1 Jan 2028
86.5% YES ↑ 40% 24h change Live
YES NO 13.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$98
Liquidity
$28K
Score
88/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $104
24h Volume $98
Liquidity $28K
Spread 1%
Book depth
Open interest $533
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 2
Largest trade $53
Avg. trade size $37

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Citrea officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by Citrea will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Citrea (https://x.com/citrea_xyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →