Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

Closes in 239 days
1 Jan 2027
26.5% YES ↑ 8% 24h change ↑ 1% 1h ↑ 6.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 73.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$14
Liquidity
$1K
Score
95/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$81,990
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 24/100
Total vol. $25.0K
24h Volume $14
Liquidity $1K
Spread 15%
Book depth
Open interest $12.0K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 1.6%
7d change ↑ 5.4%
Market Cap $1.64T
vs ATH -35% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 36% Sell 64%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 2
Largest trade $4
Avg. trade size $3

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for BTC.D between Sept 5, 2025, 15:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value of 70.00% or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the BTC.D "High" percentage currently available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3ABTC.D with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the percentage according to TradingView BTC.D, not according to other sources or spot markets.

1 comments

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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