Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

Closes in 261 days
1 Jan 2027
20.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↑ 3.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 79.5%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$6K
Score
92/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$74,827
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 35/100
Total vol. $24.2K
24h Volume
Liquidity $6K
Spread 5%
Book depth
Open interest $12.1K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 4%
7d change ↑ 10.1%
Market Cap $1.50T
vs ATH -40.7% vs Oct 25

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for BTC.D between Sept 5, 2025, 15:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value of 70.00% or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the BTC.D "High" percentage currently available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3ABTC.D with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the percentage according to TradingView BTC.D, not according to other sources or spot markets.

1 comments

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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