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Other What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?

Closes in 210 days
1 Jan 2027
15.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↑ 2% 7d change Live
YES NO 84.5%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$1K
Score
89/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 22/100
Total vol. $14.9K
24h Volume
Liquidity $1K
Spread 11%
Book depth
Open interest $7.8K
View on PolyMarket ↗

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point. This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.

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What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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