other
Other Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Closed
1 Jan 2026
39% YES ↑ 1% 24h change ↓ 3.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 61%
Share:
24h Volume
$565
Liquidity
$4K
Score
99/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $530.2K
24h Volume $565
Liquidity $4K
Spread 2%
Book depth
Open interest $230.0K
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 96% Sell 4%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 5
Largest trade $100
Avg. trade size $45

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

124 comments

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

3 markets

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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