Any newly graduated Pump.fun token listed on a major CEX in 2026?
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token graduated on Pump.fun after the creation of this market is listed for spot trading on a major CEX (Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the respective CEXs; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Understanding This Market
The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.
The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.
The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.
Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap
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