Solana
SOL Solana above ___ on May 14?

Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 14?

Closes in 5 days
14 May 2026
2.2% YES ↑ 0.1% 24h change ↑ 0.4% 1h Live
YES NO 97.8%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$6K
Score
81/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
Loading chart...
YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$92.4561
SOL current →
→ target: $130
Still 40.6% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 39/100
Total vol.
24h Volume
Liquidity $6K
Spread 2.4%
Book depth
Open interest $91
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 4.6%
7d change ↑ 10.6%
Market Cap $53.4B
vs ATH -68.5% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed +40.6% in 5 days
Market probability 2.2%
Historical base rate 0.1%
Market is broadly aligned with history
1 of 724 5-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 66.8%

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →