Solana
SOL Solana above ___ on May 3?

Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 3?

Closes in 1 days
3 May 2026
1.6% YES ↑ 0.1% 24h change Live
YES NO 98.4%
Share:
24h Volume
$101
Liquidity
$8K
Score
81/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
Loading chart...
YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$84.2083
SOL current →
→ target: $100
Still 18.8% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 39/100
Total vol. $161
24h Volume $101
Liquidity $8K
Spread 2.7%
Book depth
Open interest $4.2K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 1.2%
7d change ↓ 2.6%
Market Cap $48.5B
vs ATH -71.3% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed +18.8% in 1 days
Market probability 1.6%
Historical base rate 0.3%
Market is broadly aligned with history
2 of 729 1-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 67%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 2
Largest trade $30
Avg. trade size $16

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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