other

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Closes in 168 days
1 Jan 2027
7.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↓ 4% 7d change Live
YES NO 92.5%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$2K
Score
85/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 39/100
Total vol. $68.1K
24h Volume
Liquidity $2K
Spread 3%
Book depth
Open interest $8.1K
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About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total crypto liquidations event exceeds the highest liquidation amount ever recorded ($19.16B) at any point in 2026, as tracked by CoinGlass. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CoinGlass liquidation data (https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData), specifically the “Top 10 Crypto Liquidation Events of All Time.” If CoinGlass data becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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