Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens are recorded in April. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Dune Analytics, specifically the "Graduated Tokens" bar chart available at https://dune.com/adam_tehc/pumpfun. The total for April will be calculated as the sum of all daily bars during the month. A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
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Understanding This Market
The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.
The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.
The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.
Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap
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