Bitcoin
BTC MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Closes in 53 days
1 Jul 2026
15.5% YES ↑ 1% 24h change Live
YES NO 84.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$93K
Liquidity
$93K
Score
89/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$79,959
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 50/100
Total vol. $407.0K
24h Volume $93K
Liquidity $93K
Spread 1%
Book depth $4.0K
Open interest $876.7K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.2%
7d change ↑ 1.9%
Market Cap $1.60T
vs ATH -36.6% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 70% Sell 30%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 290
Largest trade $2.8K
Avg. trade size $85

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

279 comments

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

5 markets

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →