Bitcoin
BTC MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Closes in 31 days
1 Jul 2026
19.3% YES ↓ 6.4% 24h change ↑ 2.5% 1h ↑ 5.8% 7d change Live
YES NO 80.7%
Share:
24h Volume
$866K
Liquidity
$86K
Score
91/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
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YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$73,656
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 73/100
Total vol. $7.5M
24h Volume $866K
Liquidity $86K
Spread 0.1%
Book depth $885
Open interest $3.0M
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0%
7d change ↓ 4.4%
Market Cap $1.48T
vs ATH -41.6% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 70% Sell 30%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 1,888
Whale trades 8↑ / 4↓
Largest trade $41.7K
Avg. trade size $224

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

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Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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