Bitcoin

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?

Closes in 7 days
28 Apr 2026
91% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↓ 0.5% 1h Live
YES NO 9%
Share:
24h Volume
$217
Liquidity
$1K
Score
86/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
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YES % Current BTC price
Current price
$75,203
BTC →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 41/100
Total vol. $217
24h Volume $217
Liquidity $1K
Spread 2%
Book depth
Open interest $158
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.5%
7d change ↑ 6%
Market Cap $1.51T
vs ATH -40.4% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 97% Sell 3%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 14
Largest trade $100
Avg. trade size $12

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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