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Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Closed
15 Apr 2026
34.9% YES ↓ 15% 24h change ↓ 1.1% 1h
YES NO 65.1%
Share:
24h Volume
$984
Liquidity
$46
Score
29/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 7/100
Total vol. $984
24h Volume $984
Liquidity $46
Spread 69.9%
Book depth
Open interest $5
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 6
Largest trade $886
Avg. trade size $164

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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