Binance Coin

BNB Up or Down - May 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Closed
3 May 2026
74.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 25.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$1K
Score
94/100
Historical probability + Current BNB price
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YES % Current BNB price
Current price
$615.5323
BNB →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 24/100
Total vol. $2.5K
24h Volume $2K
Liquidity $1K
Spread 13%
Book depth
Open interest $2.5K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.2%
7d change ↓ 3.5%
Market Cap $83.0B
vs ATH -55.1% vs Oct 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 15
Largest trade $954
Avg. trade size $104

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

Statistics →