other
Other Arcium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Closes in 607 days
1 Jan 2028
20.3% YES ↓ 0.3% 24h change ↓ 0.9% 1h ↑ 3.1% 7d change Live
YES NO 79.7%
Share:
24h Volume
$17
Liquidity
$429
Score
59/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 15/100
Total vol. $311
24h Volume $17
Liquidity $429
Spread 36.1%
Book depth
Open interest $1.4K
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 0% Sell 100%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $11
Avg. trade size $11

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arcium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Arcium will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arcium (https://x.com/Arcium) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".https://polymarket.com/event/betmoar-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch

1 comments

Arcium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

7 markets

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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