Will the NYSE choose a multichain setup?
Sobre este mercado
NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
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Cómo interpretar este mercado
El porcentaje YES representa la probabilidad colectiva del mercado. Un precio de 0.72 significa que los traders estiman un 72% de probabilidad de resolución YES — cada acción de $1 vale $1 si ocurre el evento, $0 si no.
El spread bid-ask es el coste de operar. Spreads ajustados (< 2%) indican mercados líquidos y activos. La puntuación competitiva (0–100) refleja la calidad y eficiencia del mercado.
La tasa histórica base muestra con qué frecuencia se produjo un movimiento de precio similar en ventanas de tiempo comparables. Una gran diferencia entre la probabilidad del mercado y la tasa histórica puede indicar sobre o infravaloración.
Datos de PolyMarket vía Gamma API, actualizados cada 15 minutos. Precios de criptomonedas de CoinMarketCap.
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