Bitcoin
BTC Bitcoin best month in 2026?

Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Cierra en 286 días
1 ene. 2027
6% ↓ 0.5% cambio 24h ↓ 1% cambio 7d En vivo
NO 94%
Compartir:
Volumen 24h
$79
Liquidez
$8K
Score
84/100
Probabilidad histórica + Precio actual BTC
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SÍ % Precio actual BTC
Precio actual
$70,648
BTC →
Estadísticas del mercado
Eficiencia del mercado 41/100
Vol. total $7.8K
Volumen 24h $79
Liquidez $8K
Spread 2%
Profundidad del libro
Interés abierto
Ver en PolyMarket ↗
cambio 24h ↑ 0.3%
cambio 7d ↓ 1.7%
Market Cap $1.41T
vs ATH -44% vs oct. 25
Actividad de trades (24h)
Compra 93% Venta 7%
Compradores dominan
Trades (24h) 3
Mayor trade $10
Trade promedio $5

Sobre este mercado

This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDTThis market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately. If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.

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Cómo interpretar este mercado

YES% = Probabilidad

El porcentaje YES representa la probabilidad colectiva del mercado. Un precio de 0.72 significa que los traders estiman un 72% de probabilidad de resolución YES — cada acción de $1 vale $1 si ocurre el evento, $0 si no.

Spread y Puntuación

El spread bid-ask es el coste de operar. Spreads ajustados (< 2%) indican mercados líquidos y activos. La puntuación competitiva (0–100) refleja la calidad y eficiencia del mercado.

Tasa Histórica Base

La tasa histórica base muestra con qué frecuencia se produjo un movimiento de precio similar en ventanas de tiempo comparables. Una gran diferencia entre la probabilidad del mercado y la tasa histórica puede indicar sobre o infravaloración.

Datos de PolyMarket vía Gamma API, actualizados cada 15 minutos. Precios de criptomonedas de CoinMarketCap.

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