Bitcoin
BTC What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?

Cierra en 10 días
31 mar. 2026
79.5% ↑ 0% cambio 24h En vivo
NO 20.5%
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Volumen 24h
$26
Liquidez
$3K
Score
92/100
Probabilidad histórica + Precio actual BTC
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SÍ % Precio actual BTC
Precio actual
$70,648
BTC →
Estadísticas del mercado
Eficiencia del mercado 45/100
Vol. total $1.5K
Volumen 24h $26
Liquidez $3K
Spread 1%
Profundidad del libro
Interés abierto
Ver en PolyMarket ↗
cambio 24h ↑ 0.3%
cambio 7d ↓ 1.7%
Market Cap $1.41T
vs ATH -44% vs oct. 25
Actividad de trades (24h)
Compra 100% Venta 0%
Compradores dominan
Trades (24h) 3
Mayor trade $5
Trade promedio $4

Sobre este mercado

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin comparatively outperforms the NVIDIA (NVDA) in the listed month, with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the month for each asset. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the last day of the specified month in the ET timezone to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on the first day of the specified month, 12:00 AM in the ET timezone (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The percentage change in NVIDIA (NVDA) will be calculated by comparing the official NVIDIA (NVDA) Close price for the last trading day of the specified month to the official NVIDIA (NVDA) Close price for the last trading day before the specified month, as reported by the Wall Street Journal (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/NVDA/historical-prices). If either of the relevant days has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. Exactly equal performance of both assets will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution sources for this market are Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar, and the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices" (US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks, EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea, ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia).

Cómo interpretar este mercado

YES% = Probabilidad

El porcentaje YES representa la probabilidad colectiva del mercado. Un precio de 0.72 significa que los traders estiman un 72% de probabilidad de resolución YES — cada acción de $1 vale $1 si ocurre el evento, $0 si no.

Spread y Puntuación

El spread bid-ask es el coste de operar. Spreads ajustados (< 2%) indican mercados líquidos y activos. La puntuación competitiva (0–100) refleja la calidad y eficiencia del mercado.

Tasa Histórica Base

La tasa histórica base muestra con qué frecuencia se produjo un movimiento de precio similar en ventanas de tiempo comparables. Una gran diferencia entre la probabilidad del mercado y la tasa histórica puede indicar sobre o infravaloración.

Datos de PolyMarket vía Gamma API, actualizados cada 15 minutos. Precios de criptomonedas de CoinMarketCap.

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