Will Bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of March 16?
Sobre este mercado
This market will resolve to the listed crypto asset with the highest percentage change during the week of March 9, 2026. The “Change” value shown for each asset’s weekly candle for the week of March 16, 2026 will be used. A weekly candle is considered finalized once the following week’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the spot USDT trading pairs for each listed asset (e.g. BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT), for example: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more assets are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve based on whichever comes first alphabetically. Only Binance spot USDT-pair data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. Weekly candles are defined based on Binance’s chart timezone. For reference, in the ET timezone, the weekly candle for the week of March 16, 2026 is titled “2026/03/15 19:00” on Binance.
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Cómo interpretar este mercado
El porcentaje YES representa la probabilidad colectiva del mercado. Un precio de 0.72 significa que los traders estiman un 72% de probabilidad de resolución YES — cada acción de $1 vale $1 si ocurre el evento, $0 si no.
El spread bid-ask es el coste de operar. Spreads ajustados (< 2%) indican mercados líquidos y activos. La puntuación competitiva (0–100) refleja la calidad y eficiencia del mercado.
La tasa histórica base muestra con qué frecuencia se produjo un movimiento de precio similar en ventanas de tiempo comparables. Una gran diferencia entre la probabilidad del mercado y la tasa histórica puede indicar sobre o infravaloración.
Datos de PolyMarket vía Gamma API, actualizados cada 15 minutos. Precios de criptomonedas de CoinMarketCap.
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