Ripple
XRP XRP above ___ on March 24?

Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 24?

Closes in 3 days
24 Mar 2026
95.7% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 4.3%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$8K
Score
83/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
Loading chart...
YES % Current XRP price
Price vs Target
$1.4354
XRP current →
→ target: $1
Exceeded by 16.4%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 29/100
Total vol.
24h Volume
Liquidity $8K
Spread 6.6%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0.2%
7d change ↑ 1.8%
Market Cap $88.0B
vs ATH -62.6% vs Jan 18
Historical Context
Move needed -16.4% in 3 days
Market probability 95.7%
Historical base rate 1.1%
Market is 94.6 pts more optimistic than history
8 of 727 3-day periods for XRP achieved this move · annual vol: 69.7%

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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