Ripple
XRP XRP price on March 26?

Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on March 26?

Closes in 5 days
26 Mar 2026
25.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 74.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$150
Liquidity
$74
Score
50/100
Historical probability + Current XRP price
Loading chart...
YES % Current XRP price
Price vs Target
$1.4314
XRP current →
→ target: $2
Still 32.7% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 13/100
Total vol. $150
24h Volume $150
Liquidity $74
Spread 47%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.1%
7d change ↑ 2.3%
Market Cap $87.7B
vs ATH -62.7% vs Jan 18
Historical Context
Move needed +32.7% in 5 days
Market probability 25.5%
Historical base rate 1.7%
Market is 23.8 pts more optimistic than history
12 of 725 5-day periods for XRP achieved this move · annual vol: 69.7%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 2
Largest trade $97
Avg. trade size $73

About this market

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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