Solana
SOL Solana price on March 27?

Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 27?

Closes in 6 days
27 Mar 2026
40.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 59.5%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$59
Score
21/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
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YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$90.0266
SOL current →
→ target: $40
Exceeded by 55.6%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 5/100
Total vol.
24h Volume
Liquidity $59
Spread 79%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 1%
7d change ↑ 2.3%
Market Cap $51.5B
vs ATH -69.3% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed -55.6% in 6 days
Market probability 40.5%
Historical base rate 0%
Market is 40.5 pts more optimistic than history
0 of 724 6-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 68.6%

About this market

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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