Ethereum
ETH Ethereum price on April 14?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?

Closes in 2 days
14 Apr 2026
31.5% YES ↑ 7.5% 24h change ↑ 1% 1h Live
YES NO 68.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$633
Liquidity
$13K
Score
97/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
Loading chart...
YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,215
ETH current →
→ target: $2,100
Exceeded by 5.2%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 37/100
Total vol. $781
24h Volume $633
Liquidity $13K
Spread 5%
Book depth
Open interest $3.6K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 1.3%
7d change ↑ 8.4%
Market Cap $267.4B
vs ATH -55.3% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed -5.2% in 2 days
Market probability 31.5%
Historical base rate 12.2%
Market is 19.3 pts more optimistic than history
89 of 728 2-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 59.1%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 9
Largest trade $381
Avg. trade size $52

About this market

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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