Bitcoin
BTC Bitcoin price on March 23?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23?

Closes in 3 days
23 Mar 2026
12.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 87.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$9K
Score
88/100
Historical probability + Current BTC price
Loading chart...
YES % Current BTC price
Price vs Target
$70,405
BTC current →
→ target: $66,000
Exceeded by 6.3%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 41/100
Total vol. $73
24h Volume $50
Liquidity $9K
Spread 2.3%
Book depth —
Open interest —
View on PolyMarket ↗
Coin Metrics → #1
24h change ↑ 0.6%
7d change ↓ 2.6%
Market Cap $1.41T
vs ATH -44.2% vs Oct 25
Historical Context
Move needed -6.3% in 3 days
Market probability 12.5%
Historical base rate 5.6%
Market is broadly aligned with history
41 of 727 3-day periods for BTC achieved this move · annual vol: 39.6%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 3
Largest trade $23
Avg. trade size $11

About this market

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Related markets

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

YES 40% 11d

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

YES 0.3% 11d

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?

YES 99.9%

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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