Ethereum
ETH What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?

Closes in 25 days
1 May 2026
12.5% YES ↑ 0.5% 24h change ↓ 13% 7d change Live
YES NO 87.5%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$1K
Score
88/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
Loading chart...
YES % Current ETH price
Current price
$2,064
ETH →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 34/100
Total vol. $74.7K
24h Volume
Liquidity $1K
Spread 5%
Book depth $40
Open interest $2.8K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.2%
7d change ↑ 3.3%
Market Cap $249.1B
vs ATH -58.3% vs Aug 25
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 1
Largest trade $1
Avg. trade size $1

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?

8 markets

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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