Ethereum
ETH What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?

Closes in 286 days
1 Jan 2027
9.2% YES ↓ 0.1% 24h change ↓ 1.7% 7d change Live
YES NO 90.8%
Share:
24h Volume
Liquidity
$2K
Score
86/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
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YES % Current ETH price
Current price
$2,129
ETH →
Market Stats
Market efficiency 21/100
Total vol.
24h Volume
Liquidity $2K
Spread 11.5%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↑ 0%
7d change ↓ 1.2%
Market Cap $256.9B
vs ATH -57% vs Aug 25

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold. A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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