Solana

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Closes in 286 days
1 Jan 2027
65.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change Live
YES NO 34.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$40
Liquidity
$936
Score
98/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
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YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$89.3609
SOL current →
→ target: $60
Exceeded by 32.9%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 37/100
Total vol. $3.0K
24h Volume $40
Liquidity $936
Spread 5%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.3%
7d change ↓ 0.9%
Market Cap $51.1B
vs ATH -69.6% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed -32.9% in 286 days
Market probability 65.5%
Historical base rate 13.3%
Market is 52.2 pts more optimistic than history
59 of 444 286-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 68.6%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 8% Sell 92%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 2
Largest trade $12
Avg. trade size $6

About this market

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Solana’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Solana’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

1 comments

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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