Solana
SOL What price will Solana hit in April?

Will Solana dip to $60 in April?

Closes in 25 days
1 May 2026
14.5% YES ↑ 1.5% 24h change Live
YES NO 85.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$38K
Score
89/100
Historical probability + Current SOL price
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YES % Current SOL price
Price vs Target
$79.1578
SOL current →
→ target: $60
Exceeded by 24.2%
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $29.2K
24h Volume $1K
Liquidity $38K
Spread 1%
Book depth
Open interest $209.7K
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 2.2%
7d change ↓ 3.4%
Market Cap $45.3B
vs ATH -73% vs Jan 25
Historical Context
Move needed -24.2% in 25 days
Market probability 14.5%
Historical base rate 10.2%
Market is broadly aligned with history
72 of 705 25-day periods for SOL achieved this move · annual vol: 68.3%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 98% Sell 2%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 4
Largest trade $794
Avg. trade size $205

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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