Will $PENGUIN reach $800M in Q1?
About this market
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any 1-minute candle for Penguin (PENGUIN/SOL) during Q1 2026 (from January 26 to March 31 11:59PM ET) has a final “High” price that implies a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the Penguin token price by the total token supply. The resolution source for this market is Dexscreener, specifically the PENGUIN/SOL price feed available at: https://dexscreener.com/solana/draf8qxqy86h7yehdo9gytxaf6gottt8ozjknwxv6dcs with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles). Only the Dexscreener PENGUIN/SOL price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
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Understanding This Market
The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.
The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.
The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.
Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap
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