other

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Closes in 286 days
1 Jan 2027
20.5% YES ↑ 0% 24h change ↓ 1% 7d change Live
YES NO 79.5%
Share:
24h Volume
$466
Liquidity
$7K
Score
92/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 41/100
Total vol. $84.4K
24h Volume $466
Liquidity $7K
Spread 3%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 4% Sell 96%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 5
Largest trade $154
Avg. trade size $43

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Monero (XMRUSDT) between Jan 5, 2026, 17:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XMRUSDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/xmrusdt with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance XMRUSDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

16 comments

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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