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Other MegaETH airdrop by...?

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Closed
1 Feb 2026
46% YES ↑ 3.4% 24h change ↓ 7.1% 7d change Live
YES NO 54%
Share:
24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$14K
Score
100/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $1.0M
24h Volume $1K
Liquidity $14K
Spread 2%
Book depth
Open interest $66.9K
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 26% Sell 74%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 29
Largest trade $271
Avg. trade size $18

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

108 comments

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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