Will $MARU reach $1B in Q1?
About this market
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any 1-minute candle for MARU (MARU/USDC) during Q1 2026 (from January 1 to 11:59 PM ET on March 31) has a final “High” price that implies a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the MARU token price by the total token supply. The resolution source for this market is EdgeX, specifically the MARU/USDC price feed available at: https://pro.edgex.exchange/spot/MARU/USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles). Only the EdgeX MARU/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
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Understanding This Market
The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.
The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.
The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.
Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap
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