other
Other Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by ___ ?

Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?

Closes in 286 days
1 Jan 2027
7.4% YES ↓ 0.5% 24h change ↓ 21.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 92.6%
Share:
24h Volume
$59
Liquidity
$3K
Score
85/100
Historical probability
Loading chart...
YES %
Market Stats
Market efficiency 36/100
Total vol. $2.8K
24h Volume $59
Liquidity $3K
Spread 4%
Book depth
Open interest
View on PolyMarket ↗
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 100% Sell 0%
Buyers dominant
Trades (24h) 2
Largest trade $38
Avg. trade size $28

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 upgrade goes live on mainnet by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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