Ethereum
ETH What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Closes in 266 days
1 Jan 2027
4% YES ↑ 0.1% 24h change ↑ 0.5% 7d change Live
YES NO 96%
Share:
24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$87K
Score
83/100
Historical probability + Current ETH price
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YES % Current ETH price
Price vs Target
$2,209
ETH current →
→ target: $10,000
Still 352.6% away
Market Stats
Market efficiency 45/100
Total vol. $327.7K
24h Volume $1K
Liquidity $87K
Spread 0.2%
Book depth
Open interest $1.2M
View on PolyMarket ↗
24h change ↓ 0.3%
7d change ↑ 7.1%
Market Cap $266.6B
vs ATH -55.4% vs Aug 25
Historical Context
Move needed +352.6% in 266 days
Market probability 4%
Historical base rate 0%
Market is broadly aligned with history
0 of 464 266-day periods for ETH achieved this move · annual vol: 59.3%
Trade Activity (24h)
Buy 29% Sell 71%
Sellers dominant
Trades (24h) 10
Largest trade $157
Avg. trade size $29

About this market

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Understanding This Market

YES% = Probability

The YES% is the crowd's collective probability estimate. A price of 0.72 means traders imply a 72% chance of resolving YES — each $1 share pays out $1 if the event occurs, $0 if not.

Spread & Score

The bid-ask spread is the cost of trading. Tight spreads (< 2%) indicate liquid, active markets. The competitive score (0–100) reflects overall market quality and efficiency.

Historical Base Rate

The historical base rate shows how often a similar price move occurred in comparable time windows. A large gap between market probability and base rate may signal over- or under-pricing.

Data from PolyMarket via Gamma API · Updated every 15 min · Crypto prices from CoinMarketCap

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